According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US economic surprise index fell to -23 on Tuesday, marking its lowest level in nine months and the largest drop in three years outside of 2024 (source: The Kobeissi Letter, June 19, 2025). This sharp decline indicates recent US economic data has consistently missed market expectations. Historically, such downturns in the economic surprise index have heightened volatility in traditional markets, often prompting risk-off sentiment that can impact cryptocurrency prices, especially BTC and ETH, as investors reassess risk exposure. Crypto traders should monitor for increased correlations between major cryptocurrencies and macroeconomic data, as further negative surprises could trigger sell-offs or inflows into crypto as an alternative asset.

According to Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), the U.S. added 139,000 nonfarm jobs in May 2025, surpassing the 126,000 estimate but lower than April's 177,000. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, matching expectations and the previous figure. For crypto traders, these mixed labor data suggest a stable U.S. jobs market but ongoing signs of cooling economic momentum. This could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations and impact Bitcoin and altcoin price trends, as traders reassess risk appetite and liquidity conditions based on macroeconomic signals. (Source: Stock Talk on Twitter, June 6, 2025)

According to The Kobeissi Letter, oil prices have extended their decline, approaching $58 per barrel as traders factor in a heightened probability of a recession (source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, April 30, 2025). This move signals increased bearish sentiment in the energy markets, with traders likely to see elevated volatility and potential for further downside in crude oil contracts. Market participants are advised to monitor macroeconomic data closely, as any additional negative indicators could intensify selling pressure in oil futures. The current price action also impacts related sectors such as energy stocks and commodity-linked currencies.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, traders should anticipate increased market volatility this week due to significant macroeconomic data releases, specifically the GDP announcement on Thursday, and the expiration of over $14 billion in options on Friday. These events are critical as they could impact trading strategies and market sentiment, influencing asset prices. Source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to Charles Edwards (@caprioleio), Bitcoin's on-chain and macroeconomic data have shown bearish signals since reaching $100,000 on December 18. This information is available in real-time at capriole.com/charts, providing traders with critical insights into the market's current downturn. Such data can be crucial for making informed trading decisions as it highlights the sustained bearish trend in the crypto market.